Arkadiusz (Arek) Wiśniowski

Welcome to my homepage!

• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Allen, Ruth, Aparicio-Castro, Andrea, Olsen, Wendy and Islam, Maydul (2023) Estimating international migration flows for the Asia-Pacific region: Application of a generation-distribution model.
  Frontiers in Sociology 8, 102. (doi:10.3389/fsoc.2023.1139258).
• Raymer, James, Guan, Qing, Shen, Tianyue, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz and Pietsch, Juliet (2022) Estimating international migration flows for the Asia-Pacific region: Application of a generation-distribution model.
  Migration Studies 10 (4): 631–669. (doi:10.1093/migration/mnac023).
• Kim, Jihye, Olsen, Wendy, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2022) Predicting Child Labour Risks by Norms in India.
  Work, Employment & Society. (doi:10.1177/09500170221091886).
• Szabo, Sylvia, Ahmed, Sayem, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Pramanik, Malay, Islam, Rashadul, Zaman Ferdousi and Kuwornu, John KM (2022). Remittances and Food Security in Bangladesh: An Empirical Country-level Analysis
  Public Health Nutrition.
  (DOI:10.1017/S1368980022001252 ).
• Lymperopoulou, Kitty, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Laurence, James (2022). Immigration, diversity and trust: the competing and intersecting role of English language ability in the community
  Ethnic and Racial Studies 45 (16), 189-215.
  (DOI:10.1080/01419870.2021.2021263).
• Avramescu, Andreea, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2021). Now-casting Romanian migration into the United Kingdom by using Google search engine data
  Demographic Research 45, 1219-1254. (doi:10.4054/DemRes.2021.45.40).
• Johnson, Renee M., Crifasi, Cassandra, Andreson Goodell, Erin M., Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Sakshaug, Joseph W., Thrul, Johannes, & Owens, Mark (2021). Differences in beliefs about COVID-19 by gun ownership: a cross-sectional survey of Texas adults
  BMJ Open 11:e048094. (doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-048094).
• Vekaria, B., Overton, C., Wiśniowski, A., Ahmad, S., Aparicio-Castro, A., Curran-Sebastian, J., ... & Elliot, M. (2021). Hospital length of stay for COVID-19 patients: Data-driven methods for forward planning.
  BMC Infectious Diseases 21, Article number: 700. (doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-56855/v1).
• Shryane, N., Pampaka, M., Aparicio Castro, A., Ahmad, S., Elliot, M., Kim, J., Murphy, J., Olsen, W., Perez Ruiz, D. & Wiśniowski, A. (2021) Length of Stay in ICU of Covid-19 Patients in England, March - May 2020.
  International Journal of Population Data Science 5(4):05.
  (doi:10.23889/ijpds.v5i4.1411).
• Olsen, Wendy, Bera, Manasi, Dubey, Amaresh, Kim, Ji Hye, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Yadav, Purva (2020) Hierarchical Modelling of COVID-19 Death Risk in India in the Early Phase of the Pandemic.
  The European Journal of Development Research 32, 1476-1503.
  (doi:10.1057/s41287-020-00333-5).
• Kim, Jihye, Olsen, Wendy, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2020) A Bayesian Estimation of Child Labour in India.
  Child Indicators Research 13 (6), 1975-2001. (doi:10.1007/s12187-020-09740-w).
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Sakshaug, Joseph, Perez Ruiz, Diego and Blom, Annelies G. (2020) Integrating Probability and Nonprobability Samples for Survey Inference.
  Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, 8 (1) 120-147. (doi:10.1093/jssam/smz051).
• Sakshaug, Joseph, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Perez Ruiz, Diego and Blom, Annelies G. (2019) Supplementing Small Probability Samples with Nonprobability Samples: A Bayesian Approach.
  Journal of Official Statistics, 35 (3), 653-681. (doi:10.2478/jos-2019-0027).
• Bijak, Jakub, Disney, George, Findlay, Allan M., Forster, Jonathan J., Smith, Peter W. F. and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2019) Assessing time series models for forecasting international migration: Lessons from the United Kingdom.
  Journal of Forecasting, 38 (5), 470-487. (doi:10.1002/for.2576).
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Bijak, Jakub, Forster, Jonathan J. and Smith, Peter W. F. (2019) Hierarchical model for forecasting the outcomes of binary referenda.
  Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 133, 90-103. (doi:10.1016/j.csda.2018.09.007).
• Raymer, James and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2018) Applying and testing a forecasting model for age and sex patterns of immigration and emigration.
  Population Studies 72 (3), 339-355. (doi:10.1080/00324728.2018.1469784).
• DeWaard, Jack, Ha, Jasmine Trang, Raymer, James and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2017) Migration from New-Accession Countries and Duration Expectancy in the EU-15: 2002-2008.
  European Journal of Population, 33 (1), 33-53. (doi:10.1007/s10680-016-9383-3).
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2017) Combining Labour Force Survey data to estimate migration flows: the case of migration from Poland to the UK.
  Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 180 (1), 185-202. (doi:10.1111/rssa.12189).
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Forster, Jonathan J., Smith, Peter W. F., Bijak, Jakub, and Raymer, James (2016) Integrated modelling of age and sex patterns of European migration.
  Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 179 (4), 1007-1024. (doi:10.1111/rssa.12177).
• Shang, Han Lin, Smith, Peter W. F., Bijak, Jakub, and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2015) A multilevel functional data method for forecasting population, with an application to the United Kingdom.
  International Journal of Forecasting, 32 (3), 629-649.
  (doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.10.002).
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Smith, Peter W. F., Bijak, Jakub, Raymer, James and Forster, Jonathan J. (2015) Bayesian population forecasting: extending the Lee-Carter method.
  Demography, 52 (3), 1035-1059. (doi:10.1007/s13524-015-0389-y).
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Bijak, Jakub and Shang, Han Lin (2014) Forecasting Scottish migration in the context of the 2014 constitutional change debate.
  Population, Space and Place, 20 (5), 455-464. (doi:10.1002/psp.1856)
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Bijak, Jakub, Christiansen, Solveig, Forster, J. Jonathan, Keilman, Nico, Raymer, James and Smith, Peter W. F. (2013) Utilising expert opinion to improve the measurement of international migration in Europe.
  Journal of Official Statistics, 29 (4), 583-607. (doi:10.2478/jos-2013-0041)
• Raymer, James, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Forster, Jonathan J., Smith, Peter W. F. and Bijak, Jakub (2013) Integrated Modelling of European Migration.
  Journal of the American Statistical Association, 108 (503), 801-819. (doi:10.1080/01621459.2013.789435)
• Abel, Guy J., Bijak, Jakub, Findlay, Allan, McCollum, David and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2013). Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom: an exploration using Bayesian models.
  Population and Environment. 35 (2), 183-203. (doi:10.1007/s11111-013-0186-8)
• Bijak, Jakub and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2010). Bayesian forecasting of immigration to selected European countries by using expert knowledge.
  Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 173 (4), 775-796. (doi:10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00635.x)

• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2021). Migration forecasting using new technology and methods. In: Marie McAuliffe (Ed.) Research Handbook on International Migration and Digital Technology. Edward Elgar Publishing. (doi:10.4337/9781839100611.00039)
• Sakshaug, Joseph, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Perez Ruiz, Diego and Blom, Annelies (2021). Combining Scientific and Non-scientific Surveys to Improve Estimation and Reduce Costs. In: Tamás Rudas, Gábor Péli (Eds.) Pathways Between Social Science and Computational Social Science. Springer, Cham. (https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-54936-7_4)
• Xiong, Qian and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2017). Comparative Study of Active Ageing in China and the EU Countries. In: Zaidi, A., Harper, S., Howse, K., Lamura, G. and Perek-Bialas, J. (eds.). Building Evidence for Active Ageing Policies: Active Ageing Index and its Potential: Edited Volume of Papers presented in the UNECE/EC International Seminar on Active Ageing Index, Brussels, 16–17 April 2015. Amsterdam University Press. (doi:10.1007/978-981-10-6017-5_17)
• Bijak, Jakub, Disney, Goerge, Lubman, Sarah and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2016). International Migration and Asylum Seekers. In: Champion, Tony and Falkingham, Jane (eds.). Population Change in the United Kingdom. Rowman & Littlefied International, London.
• Shang, Han Lin, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Bijak, Jakub, Smith, Peter W. F. and Raymer, James (2014). Bayesian functional models for population forecasting. In: Marsili. M and Capacci. G (eds.). Proceedings of the Sixth Eurostat/Unece Work Session on Demographic Projections. Istituto Nazionale di Statistica. ISBN: 9788845818103. (Available here)
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Bijak, Jakub, Kupiszewski, Marek and Kupiszewska, Dorota (2012). An uncertain future of immigration in Europe: Insights from expert-based stochastic forecasts for selected countries. In: Okólski, Marek (ed.). European Immigrations: Trends, Structures and Policy Implications. Amsterdam University Press. (Available here)
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2012). Modele zmiennych wielomianowych nieuporzadkowanych [Multinomial response models]. In: Gruszczynski, Marek (ed.). Mikroekonometria. Modele i metody analizy danych indywidualnych [Microeconometrics. Models and methods of analysis of microdata], Second Edition. Wolters Kluwer Poland.
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2010). Bayesian computing in practice. Contributed in: Bijak, Jakub. Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View. Dordrecht: Springer.

• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2021/11/16). The economic impact of COVID-19 on ethnic minorities in Manchester. Policy@Manchester blog post.
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2014/08/20). Odds of a Scottish Yes vote are fading fast. Monkey Cage blog at The Washington Post.
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2014/07/30). Scottish independence vote is too close to call. Monkey Cage blog at The Washington Post.

• Allen, Ruth, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Aparicio Castro, Andrea, Performance, Research and Intelligence, Manchester City Council, Olsen, Wendy K., and Islam, Maydul (2021) The Economic Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Ethnic Minorities in Manchester. Social Sciences Research Network Working Paper No. 3949593. (doi:10.2139/ssrn.3949593)
• Perez Ruiz, Diego, and Wisniowski, Arkadiusz (2021). The Low Income Penalty Report: Is the UK's current car tax system hurting the poorest in society? Report prepared for By Miles Ltd. (doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.11713.28003)
• Gendronneau, Cloé, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Yildiz, Dilek, Zagheni, Emilio, Fiorio, Lee, Hsiao, Yuan, Stepanek Martin, Weber Ingmar, Abel Guy, Hoorens, Stijn (2019) Measuring Labour Mobility and Migration Using Big Data. Report prepared for the European Commission project. Directorate-General for Employment Social Affairs and Inclusion. (Availabl here)
• Bijak, Jakub, Disney, George, Lubman, Sarah and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2013). Towards Reliable Migration Statistics for the United Kingdom. Written Response to the House of Commons Public Administration Select Committee Call for Evidence on Migration Statistics. University of Southampton, January 2013.
• Kupiszewska, Dorota and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2009). Availability of statistical data on migration and migrant population and potential supplementary sources for data estimation. MIMOSA Deliverable 9.1 A Report, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague.
• Kupiszewska, Dorota, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz and Bijak, Jakub (2009). Estimation of population stocks by country of birth, sex and age for 1st January 2002–2007. MIMOSA Deliverable 7 Report, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague.
• Kupiszewska, Dorota, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Ekamper, Peter, Bijak, Jakub and Raymer, James (2010). Estimation of population stocks by broad group of citizenship, sex and age for 1st January 2002–2008. MIMOSA Deliverable 9.2 Report, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague.

• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz and Raymer, James (2016). Bayesian multiregional population forecasts: England. . Working Paper 07, Joint Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections. Conference of European Statisticians, Geneva, 18-20 April 2016. (download)
• Findlay, Allan M., McCollum, David, Abel, Guy J., Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz and Bijak, Jakub (2012). A delphi survey of immigration to the UK to 2060 with particular reference to environmental mobility. CPC Working Paper 28, ESRC Centre for Population Change, UK.
• Abel, Guy J., Bijak, Jakub, Findlay, Allan M., McCollum, David and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2012). Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom, 2010 - 2060: an exploration using Bayesian models. CPC Working Paper 22, ESRC Centre for Population Change, UK.
• Bijak, Jakub, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz and the IMEM Team (2011). Statistical modelling of international migration flows. 58th World Statistics Congress of the International Statistical Institute (ISI2011), 21-26 August 2011 , Dublin, IE, 21 - 26 Aug 2011. 8pp.
• Raymer, James, Abel, Guy J., Disney, George and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2011). Improving Estimates of Migration Flows to Eurostat. CPC Working Paper 15, ESRC Centre for Population Change, UK.
• Raymer James, Forster Jonathan J., Smith, Peter W.F., Bijak, Jakub, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz and Abel, Guy J. (2010). The IMEM model for estimating international migration flows in the European Union. Article presented at the Joint UNECE/Eurostat Work Session on Population Projections. Geneva, Switzerland, 14-16 April 2010.
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz and Bijak, Jakub (2009). Elicitation of expert knowledge for migration forecasts using a Delphi survey. CEFMR Working Paper No.2/2009.
• Bijak, Jakub and Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2009). Forecasting of immigration flows for selected European countries using expert information. CEFMR Working Paper No.1/2009.
• Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz (2008). Bayesian analysis of growth using stochastic frontier model. In: W. Welfe, A. Welfe (eds.) MACROMODELS 2007, Proceedings of the 34th International Conference, Lodz. Published also as Working Paper 1-08, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.