Arkadiusz (Arek) Wi¶niowski

Welcome to my homepage!

I am a Senior Lecturer in Social Statistics and Head of Department at the Social Statistics Department, School of Social Sciences, University of Manchester. I am also a lead of the Statistical Modelling Research Group at the Cathie Marsh Institute (CMI), associate of the ESRC Research Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton, and Adjunct Associate Professor at Asian Demographic Research Institute, University of Shanghai.

In my research I concentrate on developing statistical methods for modelling and forecasting complex social processes, with a particular focus on migration and mobility, and combining various sources of data. I also have a general interest in time series analysis and forecasting, hierarchical models, Bayesian computational methods, micro-econometrics, opinion polls and ageing. Recently, I have been involved in research related to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Recent outputs
Estimating international migration flows for the Asia-Pacific region: Application of a generation-distribution model. With James Raymer, Qing Guan, Tianyu Shen and Juliet Pietsch. Migration Studies (

Last updated: August 2022

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