Arkadiusz (Arek) Wi¶niowski

Welcome to my homepage!

I work as a Senior Lecturer in Social Statistics at the Social Statistics Department, School of Social Sciences, University of Manchester. I am also a co-lead of the Statistical Modelling Research Group at the Cathie Marsh Institute (CMI), associate of the ESRC Research Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton, and adjunct associate professor at Asian Demographic Research Institute, University of Shanghai.

In my research I concentrate on developing statistical methods for modelling and forecasting complex social processes, with a particular focus on migration and mobility, and combining various sources of data. I also have a general interest in time series analysis and forecasting, hierarchical models, Bayesian computational methods, micro-econometrics, opinion polls and ageing. Recently, I have been involved in research related to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Recent outputs
Now-casting Romanian migration into the United Kingdom by using Google search engine data. With Andreea Avramescu. Demographic Research 45, 1219-1254. (

The Economic Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Ethnic Minorities in Manchester. A blog post at Policy@Manchester.

Last updated: January 2022

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