UK Easter Probability Meeting

Stochastic modelling of complex systems

30 March – 3 April 2020

The University of Manchester

Due to the ongoing Coronavirus outbreak, the meeting has been cancelled. We plan to run the meeting in Manchester in either 2021 or 2022.


Minicourse Speakers

Nathanaël Berestycki (University of Vienna)

Dimers and imaginary geometry

Alison Etheridge (University of Oxford)

Mathematical models from population geneticsAbstract:

For over a century, mathematical models have played a fundamental role in theoretical population genetics. Indeed, genetics provided some of the earliest applications of the Ito calculus. In turn, population genetics provides a wealth of mathematical challenges.

In these lectures, we shall focus on the models which arise when we try to model the interplay between the forces of evolution (mutation, selection, random genetic drift etc) acting on a population. We shall begin with some classical models for so-called panmictic populations, before turning to the complications that arise when we try to incorporate spatial structure.The challenge is to provide consistent forwards in time models for the way in which the frequencies of different genetic types evolve in the population, and backwards in time models for the ways in which individuals sampled from the population are related to one another.

Nathan Ross (University of Melbourne)

Stein's method and applications

Invited Speakers

Contributed Talks


(M) Minicourse (D) Discussion (T) Talk


The meeting will take place in the Department of Mathematics of the University of Manchester.

Alan Turing Building is building 46 on the Campus Map. For more details on reaching the venue, please see Maps and Travel.

The room has stepless access.


Registration is closed.

Conference dinner

There will be a conference dinner on Wednesday at no extra charge. The dinner is sponsored by the Applied Probability Trust.

Contributed talks and posters

There is an opportunity for early-career researchers and research students to present a short talk (there will be six 20 minute contributed talks) or a poster. Space for the short talks is limited, and participants will be selected based on their proposed abstracts. The deadline for abstract submission is Friday 17 January, and decisions will be communicated by Friday 24 January. Participants selected to present a short talk will receive financial support for their attendance and have the conference fee waived.


We have awarded all our funding for supporting UK research students. Currently there is no funding available.


The organising committee is:

If you have any questions, please email the committee.

This meeting is funded by APT, EPSRC and LMS.